What’s driving it: “The drop in trust … is driven largely by a sharp decline among Democrats, whose level of trust is half of what it was one year ago.

The judicial branch's current tarnished image contrasts with trust levels exceeding two-thirds in most years in Gallup's trend since 1972.”

The historic trend: “This is the lowest confidence rating for the judicial branch in Gallup's trend by six points.

The topline: “Less than half of Americans say they have ‘a great deal’ or ‘a fair amount’ of trust in the judicial branch of the federal government, representing a 20-percentage-point drop from two years ago, including seven points since last year.”.

Gallup previewed some of the key findings for Playbook:

TRUST IN JUDICIAL BRANCH PLUMMETS - A new Gallup poll set for release today shows a drop in approval of and confidence in the Supreme Court. A net gain of 20 seats this fall would give Republicans 233 - the GOP had 230 in 1995 when Newt Gingrich was elected speaker.” (He’ll offer a Senate prediction next week.) But that’s partly because the GOP got a head start in 2020 by picking up 14 House seats. Republicans are likely to gain closer to 20 than 25. ROVE’S HOUSE PREDICTION - KARL ROVE in the WSJ: “The red wave will likely generate a smaller midterm swing than the average, which since 1934 has been 28 House seats. HURRICANE IAN LATEST - AP: “People trapped, 2M without power after Ian swamps SW Florida”: “One of the strongest hurricanes to ever hit the United States barreled across the Florida peninsula overnight Wednesday, threatening catastrophic flooding inland, the National Hurricane Center warned.”

OVERNIGHT - WaPo: “Harris visits DMZ after North Korean missile tests” In an unusual and rare statement, Justice Samuel Alito, author of the Dobbs decision that has driven down the Court’s approval, directly responded to Elena Kagan’s critiques (without naming her).

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